Bowl winner with elite returning skill (Jackson / Sparks / Dawn) and third-favorite pricing (+590); O6.5 fair Over 54.20%
Pac-12 · 2026
Texas State
2025 record 7–6 3–5 conference
Postseason Armed Forces Bowl W 41–10 vs Rice
Head coach G.J. Kinne
Scheme Multiple / 4-2-5
B−
C+
Portal #6; high-school pipeline depth provides the overall recruiting lift
B−
Skill ceiling is real; Pare / Payne hierarchy flags and an early May depth chart keep depth from a clear B
Market odds
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Recruiting ranks
Overall #3 40 commits · 199.15 pts
Portal #6 18 commits· avg 84.76
Roster notes
Brad Jackson returns at QB1 with Beau Sparks and Chris Dawn Jr. — Sun Belt production into Pac-12
RB Greg Burrell over Lincoln Pare’s 2025 rush lead; WR Beau Sparks / Chris Dawn Jr. / Kylen Evans; TE Blake Smith. OL: William Boone / Jaylen Early / Ameer Ross / Justin DeLeon / Sully Burns
Phillip Bradford / DonTerry Russell; Ayden Jones / Terrence Cooks II; Craig Royal Jr. / Will Mitchell II / Ryan Nolan / Dexter Ricks Jr. / Michael Patterson
Key offense
- 01 Brad Jackson QB
- 2025: 251/352, 3,224 yds, 21 TD, 7 INT and 174 carries, 744 yds, 17 rushing TD
- Listed QB1 — dual-threat engine
- 02 Beau Sparks WR
- 2025: 84 receptions, 1,200 yds, 10 TD. Listed WR-X
- 03 Chris Dawn Jr. WR
- 2025: 65 receptions, 1,007 yds, 4 TD. Listed WR-Z
Key defense
- 01 Ryan Nolan FS
- 2025: 79 tackles. Listed FS1
- 02 DonTerry Russell RDE
- 2025: 4.5 sacks. Listed RDE1
- 03 Terrence Cooks II MLB
- 2025: 50 tackles. Listed MLB1